A note from Scott: Happy New Year!

2025 kicked off with a bang. The Palm Springs International Film Festival’s Awards Gala took place Jan. 3 (see my analysis here). The Golden Globe Awards ceremony was held on Jan. 5 (see my analysis here). And, less than 48 hours from now, Oscar nominations voting will begin, running from 9 a.m. PT on Wednesday through 5 p.m. PT on Sunday (while the Critics Choice Awards ceremony is taking place in Santa Monica).

For those of you looking to learn more about some of the top contenders, we just posted the THR Writer Roundtable that I recently moderated, and will soon be posting very special new episodes of my Awards Chatter podcast with newly minted Golden Globe winner Adrien Brody (A24’s The Brutalist), Mike Leigh (Bleecker Street’s Hard Truths), Tilda Swinton (Sony Classics’ The Room Next Door) and Edward Norton (Searchlight’s A Complete Unknown). Check them out!

Please remember: You can bookmark this URL and return to it at any time to see my latest picks — I intend to update it once a week, usually on Mondays. Think of me like a meteorologist — my aim is to correctly predict what will happen, not to advocate for what I think should happen. My picks are arrived at by screening films, consulting with voters, analyzing campaigns and studying the results of past seasons. I do not rank things that I have not seen, because doing so is just silly. And now for my current forecast…

Best Picture

Best Director

Best Actor

Best Actress

Best Supporting Actor

Best Supporting Actress

Best Adapted Screenplay

Best Original Screenplay

Best International Feature

Best Documentary Feature

Best Animated Feature

Best Cinematography

Best Costume Design

Best Film Editing

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Best Original Score

Best Original Song

Best Production Design

Best Sound

Best Visual Effects

Archived forecasts

• Sept. 6, 2024
• Sept. 17, 2024
• Sept. 30, 2024
• Oct. 17, 2024
• Oct. 22, 2024
• Oct. 29, 2024
• Nov. 7, 2024
• Nov. 14, 2024
• Dec. 4, 2024
• Dec. 9, 2024
• Dec. 30, 2024